Sunday, 29 July 2018

Alexa, what do you think of this week’s blog? (Sorry I don’t understand…)


A couple of years ago I joined Amazon Prime. I joined not because I wanted access to films or music (although that was a bonus), no, the reason for signing up was the fantastic on-line ordering and delivery service that Amazon have developed. As a Prime member I can order something today and it will be delivered tomorrow. I increasingly use this service as it is so reliable and you can order 24 hours a day. More people are Amazon Prime members than any other similar membership group, with some 100,000,000 members, although the number of active Amazon users is over 310,000,000. Amazon was once simply a way to buy a book online. These days it has more products for sale (562,382,292) than the entire US population (324,459,463). It has come a long way since its humble beginnings in 1999. 

As a company, they are beginning to change the way we shop, entertain ourselves and others, and in many other areas are changing the way we live. To my mind one of the best things they developed was Alexa. This device, which is no bigger than a tin of beans, is phenomenal. I have no idea how it works, but it changed my life. Overnight all my CDs, (younger readers ask your parents what a CD is) became redundant, and there were 100s of them. Even my iPod was condemned to that bedside cabinet draw that has lots of other useless stuff that you can’t just throw away just yet. These days I can get access to 40 million songs, simply by asking Alexa to play them. 

I can ask her what the news is, the weather, if there are any travel issues on the roads, and so much more. Sometimes she gets things wrong, and sometimes she appears to have a mind of her own and will suddenly say something or respond to something heard on the TV, but usually she sits there on the piano and waits to be asked a question or to be given a command. However, I was surprised last week that the new Secretary of State for Health and Social  Care, Matt Hancock (or Gadget Man as some commentators are starting to call him) suggested that we (patients) will soon be able to ask Alexa for a diagnosis and treatment plan, using information available on the NHS Choices website. 

As part of a commitment of to invest some £487 million in hospital technology, he announced a partnership between the NHS and Amazon. This may sound a lot of money, but in the context of Amazon’s 2017 earnings of over £69 billion, it’s small change. Not so though for all those nurses who were expecting to get their pay rise in July’s pay packet. Despite voting for the recent 3% pay deal announced by Mr Hancock’s predecessor, it was revealed last week that nurses will only get 1.5%, and have to wait for next year’s incremental point to get the full pay rise. There is much anger being directed at Janet Davies, the Chief Executive of the Royal College of Nurses (RCN), who it appears miscommunicated information to their 435,000 members over the detail of the proposed pay deal. In fairness, all health unions apart from GMB voted to accept the pay deal. Maybe the GMB asked Alexa what she thought?

Perhaps, Gadget Man should have asked Alexa what she thought the reaction would be to his first speech as Health Secretary, where in a week of rising upset over pay, he announced that technology, prevention and the health and social care workforce were his three top priorities. He believes that the technology investment will make the NHS the most advanced health care system in the world. I think we probably have a little bit of catching up to do however – see here and here. Gadget Man hopes that patients being able to ask Alexa for health advice will take the pressure off the NHS by keeping people with minor illness out of GP surgeries and Accident and Emergency departments. He is a patient of Babylon’s controversial GP at Hand app.   

There are over 50 million GP consultations each year for minor complaints, all of which do not require a trip to the doctor to sort out. Such appointments cost the NHS billions of pounds. However, there are many GPs who are suspicious that asking Alexa will reduce the number of such consultations. Based on previous experience of such interventions as NHS 111, NHS Choices, Pharmacist services, even the latest health scare, it’s often a case of ‘see your  doctor’. My experience suggests that unlike the demise of my CD collection, health technology will be a slow burn if it is going to change people’s health and wellbeing or reduce the demand for NHS services. It will be changes to organisational systems and ways of working, a developing workforce, health promotion and prevention strategies, community based social care and carer support that will really make a difference. Technology is an enabler of all these elements, not an outcome in itself. But just to be sure, I’m going to ask Alexa.   
  

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