Ours is a very busy emergency
department, with an average attendance of around 300+ patients a day. Seeing,
assessing, treating and either admitting or discharging people is a constant
challenge. Doing so in a timely way, even more so. When I got there at 9am,
there were three people who had been in the department since 10 o’clock the
night before awaiting a bed. The demand for care is unrelenting and has been
growing since the Covid pandemic plateaued.
I asked to be shown a patient’s
journey through the department. It became immediately apparent how busy the
department was. Every time we stopped to discuss something, we found ourselves
in someone’s way. However, it was interesting that despite the busyness,
everyone was engaged in a purposeful and carefully choreographed way. I was
very impressed by the care being given and proud to have such a skilled and
motivated team providing that care. What was also clear was the impact that the
building work was having on the operation of the department. As the
construction work is progressing, parts of the existing department were having
to be relocated, or even shut down, adding to the difficulties in getting
people through and out of the emergency department.
Many of the folk in the
department, while I was there, were elderly patients. The impact of increasing
fragility in the growing elderly population was glaringly evident. Those
patients waiting for a bed were doing so because we have so many beds occupied
by folk who have no medical reason to be in an acute hospital, but where there
needs can’t be immediately met by other services. Regular readers of this blog
will know I have personal experience of this. My mother who lives with dementia
has spent the last 13 weeks in hospital. She was discharged home last Thursday
with a full care package of support. Unfortunately, she fell on Friday
afternoon, spent 7 hours on the floor waiting for an ambulance, and ended up
back in A&E and admitted to hospital once more. She was discharged back
home yesterday afternoon.
As well as living with dementia, my
mother is very frail and has mobility problems, but there is no medical reason
for her to be in an acute hospital bed. In fact, the hospital doesn’t even
provide a safe refuge. In the 13 weeks she was an inpatient she had 7 falls. It
is predicted that the number of people who live with dementia globally will
rise to some 153 million by 2050. Arguably, dementia is possibly the biggest
growing threat to future health and social care systems.
Increasingly there is an ever
expanding arsenal of drugs being used to reduce the worst impact of the disease
and slow the course of its progression. None, unfortunately, provide a cure.
More and better drugs will be developed, I’m sure, over time. The lure of
making enormous profits will ensure ‘big pharma’ keeps doing the research and
developing new drugs. All of which, however, will take time.
So I was interested last week to
read of work undertaken by folk at the University of Oxford in developing a
tool that is based upon 11 risk factors, which can be used for predicting
whether someone (at mid-life) will develop dementia within the next 14 years of
their life. The 11 risk factors are: age, education, a history of diabetes, a
history of depression, a history of stroke, parental history of dementia,
levels of deprivation, high blood pressure, high cholesterol, living alone and
being male. Whilst some of these factors can’t be changed (those over the age
of 60 are at greater risk for example), other factors can be addressed by
people choosing to modify their lifestyle choices. It’s known that up to 40% of
dementia cases can be prevented by stopping smoking, reducing high blood
pressure, losing weight and reducing how much alcohol you drink. However, the
risk score can only ever tell us about the relative chance of developing
dementia; it is not a tool that leads to a predictable definitive outcome. I
think it is one of the new ‘up stream’ and evidence-based ways of thinking that
the NHS has to embrace through working at a place-based, neighbourhood level.
Unlike other forms of radiotherapy,
I knew absolutely nothing about this service, which is part of a £250 million
national proton beam service. About 750 people use this service a year, 60% of
them are children and young people. The advantage of proton beam radiation is
that it can be aimed precisely at the tumour, and doesn’t harm the surrounding
tissues or organs. It is about as far removed from the care my mother and others
like her living with dementia receive at home as you could get, but both forms
of care are just as vital.